Aug 25th 2007

A friend of mine, J quoted that it’s pointless to do predictions for the following week since people always buy and sell, and everything right now is just a guess. It would be better if you understand price action and volume, read the market each and everyday. That’ll I have to put my hats to him and agree.

I’ll still be doing this to sharpen my Technical Analysis. Don’t take me wrong, this is meant to be some sort of homework I do for myself, and it might not work for you. Never use anyone’s signals or advice to open any positions. Trust your own studies, judgement, and if you’re new, to your demo account. (It takes pretty much countless of blowing to demoralize you to let you know trading the real thing isn’t easy)

GBPUSD

Main trend is still bullish. With the MACD just reversed to the upside on Daily, a long position will be desirable next week if there are no major news annoucements or so.

GBPCHF

Crossed the 200EMA lines on 30M, 1H and possible of crossing it soon on the 4H chart. It crossed the lines on Daily though. Looking at the candles on Daily, a hammer is formed before the closing. For a short confirmation, we’ll need the opening to come with a longer bear candle beside it for the opening. Whilst most indicators on this pair should be bias for a long, we’ll side step for now.

EURUSD

Main trend is bullish. As it just broke out towards the upside before the closing of the week, we’ll keep tab on the movements in the opening and if any news will be affecting this pair. It crossed all 200EMA/SMA levels, and the MACD on the daily side is reversing towards the upside. It might retrace, so side stepping for the moment.

EURAUD

A doji formed on the daily, with a possible reversal of MACD, daily charts towards the overbought zone. It looks more bias for a short, note the position of 200EMA lines as well.

USDJPY

The dollar is picking up steam on JPY. Definitely bullish from the way we look, just only crossed the magic 200 EMA lines with MACD reversing almost on all duration charts. It’s within the 38.2 to 50.0 fibo range (H4 chart), so it might range awhile here.

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5 Responses to “Weekly Forex Technical Analysis - 26th August 07”  

  1. Gravatar Icon 1 Dan

    Anyone else shorting the Euro and Yen?

  2. Gravatar Icon 2 Dan

    USD/CAD seems to be back on track to take out those recent highs. I’m thinking about the one around 1.0871.

    Let’s see how long till it reaches ~1.0900.

  3. Gravatar Icon 3 Dan

    Short reasons for EUR/USD: Resistance on the 4hour chart (200 SMA reached while MACD topped) and retracement from 1.3850 to 1.3359 completed.

    I personally sold EUR/USD. No target yet, but my stop loss is very close just above 200 SMA / 4hour chart at 1.3700.

    Sorry Jude for not posting my stuff in a separate post, I was just browsing around…

    Happy trading.
    Dan

  4. Gravatar Icon 4 Sir Forex

    Great day for trading on my behalf.
    Liking the USD more and more these days.

  5. Gravatar Icon 5 Jude

    Good to see you Dan and Sir Forex.

    Dan - Don’t know why but I kinda hate USDCAD. It’s weird! lol.

    Sir Forex - Good trade and good luck too from here! ;)

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