Archive for the 'GBPUSD' Category

GBP/USD and GBP/JPY – March 3rd 2008

GBP/USD

Cable has been consolidating for 4 days now. I think it’s time for a move outside this triangle like range.

Watch out for a close outside the triangle I’ve drawn for you. Hopefully it won’t be a fake breakout and we will see cable shooting at least 80 – 100 pips in that direction. I’m counting for a break below. A bar closing below 1.9805 is the signal to go Short; while the Long trigger is way up at 1.9960.

GBP/USD

GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY stayed in a huge range, +900 pips for two months now. Today it broke through the support going down over 100 pips, then price returned quickly inside the range. On the 4h chart no bar closed below 204.60. A bar closing below this level will signal a further drop in this pair, one I am willing to take it that happens. I think the upside potential is limited at 205.85 today. I wouldn’t take any trades between 204.60 and 205.85, there is no clear direction between these two levels!

GBP/JPY 1

I wish you a profitable week trading FOREX!
OptimusLH

Aftermath of December Interest Rate Cut (At 25 Pts)

US Dollar’s the big winner after the announcement cut apart from a few pairs which gained back its own momentum (like USDCAD)

Let’s see the few big movements.

GBPUSD

2.0516 to 2.0334 = 182 pips move

GBPUSD 4 Hours at December US Interest Rate Announcement

AUDUSD

0.8897 to 0.8711 = 186 pips move

AUDUSD 4 Hours at December US Interest Rate Announcement

USDJPY

110.76 to 110.46 = 130 pips move

USDJPY 4 Hours at December US Interest Rate Announcement

So how many pips have you bagged? (I wasn’t around today to bag any, but I hope you did!)

Cable Still Looks Good For a Long

Just after the release of ISM results (not much reaction on price action btw), I was looking and scanning around the few hour chart duration of cable (GBPUSD).

Placed a long position at 2.0650, Stop Loss at 2.0620

30min gbpusd

The stick has just pierced through the 200EMA/SMA lines on the top, for 30 mins and 1 hour. It’s in the 38.2 range and might swing a little within the range. If you hit the 4 hour chart, MACD might reverse to the top still,

4hrs gbpusd

I’ll hold the position (or exit) till 2.0717 region and continue to see if it breaks the trendline on the top. Good luck.

Dan’s Forex Market View – 19 Oct 2007

Hello,

Here are my thoughts for today. No explanations or charts this time, just simple ‘signals’.

AUD/USD (0.8915)

Trend: Downward

Take profit target at 0.8775

Stop loss (and reverse position) at 0.8990

GBP/USD (2.0442)

Trend: Uptrend

Take profit target at 2.0600

Stop loss (and reverse position) at 2.0370

Regards,
Dan
Life Holdings Management

Trading Non-Farm Payroll, The Big Numbers

It’s the time of the month again with Non-Farm Payroll in about 2 hours or so.

Let’s show you what I’d usually do before the big numbers and probably derive something from there and then with both fundamental and technical analysis. I’d start my day by visiting Forex Factory’s economic chart and check the forecast and the previous number.

The Numbers

Forex - NFP Numbers for the month of Sep

Nonfarm Employment Change: 100K appose to -4K last month. Good numbers eh! We’re suppose to see the dollar kicking a big fuss to the up side if the numbers tally then? Wait, let’s expand the directory icon to read what the rest has to say.

The Articles
Expands Forex Factory’s Indicator Folder Brings you more articles
So you’ve got like at least 6 articles. Digest them. One of the nice thing I appreciate from ForexFactory is their effort to group everything together in a category so it’s much easier for me to do my reading. Also, NFP is one of the most highly watched indicator, you’ll expect good number of articles written on it.

Done with the Reading

Aha! You’ve spent a good 1 hour or so to digest and have the rough direction how the market COULD go. (No, if you know how it will, you won’t need to read this anymore do ya?) So now you’re just waiting for the magic number announcement.

If NFP performs as expected with 100K or more, the dollar goes bullish, and if its a sub 100K results come up, uh uh! Dollar goes south.

Now to the Charts

Blow it up by clicking them, I always do have my fibos and trendlines drawn to see which side is the pair more prone to head.

GBPUSD

Forex - GBPUSD 4HRS Chart Before Non-farm Payroll

EURUSD

Forex - EURUSD 4HRS Chart Before Non-farm Payroll

USDJPY

Forex - USDJPY 4HRS Chart Before Non-farm Payroll

Points to Take Note When Trading Big News

I’m not too sure how ECN broker works because I’ve never worked with one, but chances of both type of brokers will have problems filling your positions when big news come, but never ever try to open positions before the news. If you could, wait for awhile before opening a position, maybe in the 5 – 10 minutes range, where you still could catch some pips of the news result.

Else if you are experience enough, you can always set your buy stop or sell stop levels with your stop loss before the news. Good luck tonight.

Jude’s Daily Signal 14 August 07 – GBPUSD

30 minutes from now, look out for US PPI’s release. Terminate the trade should the indicator be more than -0.2%

Long/ Buy Stop GBPUSD at 2.0038, SL 1.9998, TP 2.0131 or move SL

Jude’s Daily Signal 06 August 07 – GBPUSD

GBPUSD4hrs060807I’ve placed a buystop at 2.0448, stop loss at 2.0418 (30 pips)

Reason:

Following momentum on the 4hrs MACD, trendline on the top seems to be easier to break. And it’s still heading away from the 200EMA/SMA.

Also look out for:

The Industrial Production stats which will be released in 2 hours time. If there’s any chance of an open position, close it before the news or at least place your stop loss level properly.

Analysis by Tim Clayton – Production Shock Required To Trigger Sterling Reaction

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Jude’s Daily View – GBP Interest Rate Statement for July 07

With the Interest Rate statement released at 5.75% last month which brought the pound to an all new time height of 2.0561, the pound is taking a breath with a retracement to the 2.0280 level . Seasonal chart shows that the pair usually dives towards the end of July till Mid August.

England definitely have a stronger foothold on the economy as compared to their American counterpart with an all time PMI height in 3 years

The Bank of England is expected to leave the rates unchanged today at 5.75% today. Should the interest rate hold, expect to see some downwards action against the dollar towards the 2.0200 to 2.0150 level.

A reminder: Avoid trading any piece of news before the economic results is released. I understand people always have problem trying to short/ long positions during this timing, but it is definitely for the better if you can just wait. You can use sell stop to aid you and always remember to use stop loss level.

Peterb’s daily view on Cable. 19th July 07

With UK retail sales figures coming out today and expected to decline we could see the cable coming off it’s highs of late. I won’t open a position till the direction is clear again.

Happy trading

PeterB’s daily view on cable 11th July 07

The pound is at it’s highest level since 1981, it looks set to continue higher but with a possible resistance comming up at 2.0330, I’m reluctant to take a position at these levels,

Today it might consolidate a little. My strategy, stay sidelined and wait for clear direction.